ASAP, with some Nokian Hakkapeliitta Winter tires.
OK, you live in SF Bay, so maybe Hakkapelitta all-weather tires.
Yeah it depends how much you care about handling. The Nokian WR G3 all weather tires I have def are spongier handling wise than all seasons. So if you care, I would go full snows winter, then whatever.
I have about 30k on them. They're still pretty good in the snow. I did an insane 9 1/2 hour snow trip in Nov. I kept expecting them to actually like plow. Interstate just a sea of white, prob 3-6 inches heavy snow, guess your lane. Even the last stretch in Vt was a good 6-8 inch of powder. I drove in the middle of the road.
The tires did pretty well. Lesser than they used to be, but still way better than all seasons. I had traction control off the whole time.
But full on snows would have been nice. Esp in the wet stuff.
They make an SUV version also.
Tire dealers can be... I don't know the words. The Nokian dealer I first went into to find out about snow tires, not all whatever, would barely acknowledge they had them. In fact, it seemed they didn't. It wasn't a small shop either. Truly odd. I said to the guy, "So, I can have any Nokian tire I want as long as it's the WR G3?" Yes, was basically the answer phrased like "Why would you want anything wlse? Makes no sense."
In the end I decided to go with that tire but found a dealer in VT that was 40% less, and would talk snows all day.
To answer your question- you should replace the all seasons immediately. You can justify, and find legions to agree with you, but it's ridiculous if you want snow performance. Like stopping. Or not sliding into a ditch. I've heard all the justifications. They really only work when it doesn't snow.