I agree, FWIW. But the class action suits won't be settled for ~5 years and Tesla I am sure hopes to be in a much better position $$$ by then. Its probably a $100 to $200 million settlement IMHO. If Tesla is doing 40 billion in sales by then they'll blink, grunt, write the check, and move on.On the back of this gentle slap on the wrist, Tesla’s legal risks still remain elevated given the plethora of now potentially bolstered shareholder class actions and the criminal investigation by the DOJ (the SEC is one thing, the DOJ yet another). In the time since Elon's August 7 tweets, Tesla has faced an increased number of shareholder lawsuits alleging harm on the part of investors (both long and short by the way). The SEC charges will likely strengthen those legal arguments and private lawsuits.
Tesla will surely be impacted by the decreased investor confidence and find it more difficult to complete a multi-billion dollar capital raise given the added uncertainty. It surely will not be paying prime + 10bps or issuing stock at market price.
No one that I know has been short Tesla based solely or even in part on the SEC case. This has been merely a side show. The short thesis is pretty compelling as explained by those who do this for a living. Musk is an amazing stock promoter but a horrible CEO. This settlement forces him to be only a CEO.